3.7: Profit vs Cash Flow
Difference between profit and cash flow
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Cash Flow and Profit
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Cash is essential for a business's operation, as it's needed for daily expenses like wages and electricity. Failure to pay creditors can lead to bankruptcy. Cash is a current asset and can be held in hand or at the bank.
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Profit is the difference between total revenue and total costs. When a sale exceeds production costs, it contributes to profit. A business reaches its break-even point when sales cover all costs.
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Credit Sales and Cash Flow:
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Credit Sales: Customers can buy now and pay later. This can attract customers but also cause cash flow problems.
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Profit vs. Cash: Profit is made when sales exceed costs, but cash isn't always received immediately with credit sales.
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Cash Deficiency and Unprofitability:
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Cash Deficiency: Can be caused by poor credit control, rapid expansion, or seasonal demand fluctuations.
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Unprofitability: Even with high cash flow, a business can be unprofitable if it doesn't manage costs effectively.
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Conclusion:
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A business needs both profitability and cash flow management to survive. While profit indicates overall financial health, cash flow ensures the business can meet its day-to-day obligations.
Cash Flow Forecasts
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A cash flow forecast is a financial tool that predicts the movement of cash into and out of a business. It's based on:
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Cash inflows: Money coming into the business (sales revenue, debtor payments, loans, interest, asset sales, rental income).
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Cash outflows: Money leaving the business (invoices, bills, rent, wages, inventory, taxes, creditor payments, advertising, loans, dividends).
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Net cash flow: The difference between inflows and outflows. Ideally, it should be positive.
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Importance of Cash Flow Forecasts:
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Financial Health Assessment: Helps banks and lenders assess a business's financial health.
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Liquidity Problem Anticipation: Identifies potential cash shortages.
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Business Planning: Facilitates better planning and financial control.
Balance Sheet
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The balance sheet is a financial statement that shows a company's assets, liabilities, and equity on a specific date. It's like a snapshot of the company's financial health.
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Key components:
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Assets: Items of value owned by the company (e.g., cash, property, equipment).
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Noncurrent assets: Used for operations, last more than 12 months.
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Current assets: Easily converted to cash within 12 months (e.g., cash, debtors, inventory).
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Liabilities: Debts owed by the company (e.g., bank overdrafts, trade creditors, loans).
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Noncurrent liabilities: Due after 12 months (e.g., mortgages).
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Current liabilities: Due within 12 months.
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Equity: The owners' stake in the company (e.g., share capital, retained earnings).
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Relationship:
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Net assets = Total assets - Total liabilities.
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Net assets must equal total equity.
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Limitations:
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Static view: Shows a snapshot of financial position on a specific date.
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Estimated values: Asset values can be subjective.
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Incomplete information: Intangible assets and human capital may not be included.
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Lack of standardization: Different formats can make comparisons difficult.
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Overall, the balance sheet provides a valuable overview of a company's financial health, but it's important to consider its limitations when interpreting the information.
Construction of a cash flow forecast
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A cash flow forecast includes:
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Opening balance: The starting cash balance.
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Cash inflows: Revenue from sales and other sources.
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Cash outflows: Expenses like stock purchases, labor, and other costs.
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Net cash flow: The difference between inflows and outflows.
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Closing balance: The ending cash balance, calculated as opening balance + net cash flow.
The relationship between investment, profit and cash flow
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Cash vs. Profit
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Cash and Profit aren't the same: A business can be profitable but lack cash flow, or cash-rich but unprofitable.
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Example: Franchise: A new franchise might have strong cash flow but be unprofitable due to high initial investment costs.
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Investment and Cash Flow
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Investment: Spending on capital assets to generate future cash flows and profits.
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Short-term Impact: Investment can reduce cash flow in the short term but improve profits in the long run.
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Example: Lenovo: Lenovo's acquisition of Motorola reduced cash flow but aimed to increase future profits.
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Financing Investment
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Diversified Companies: Can rely on alternative revenue streams to improve cash flow.
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Example: Microsoft and Facebook: These companies used their strong cash positions to acquire other businesses.
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Cash Flow Management and Investment
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Importance of Cash Flow: Good cash flow management is crucial for investment opportunities.
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Example: Pharmaceutical Industry: Requires effective cash flow and product portfolio management for long-term success.
Strategies for dealing with cash flow problems
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Causes of Cash Flow Problems:
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Overtrading: Expanding too quickly without sufficient resources.
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Over Borrowing: High interest payments on external financing.
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Overstocking: Excess inventory tied up in stock.
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Poor Credit Control: Difficulty collecting payments from debtors.
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Unforeseen Changes: Unexpected events like machinery breakdown or seasonal demand fluctuations.
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Strategies to Address Cash Flow Problems:
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Reducing Cash Outflows:
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Negotiate better credit terms.
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Seek alternative suppliers.
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Improve stock control.
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Lease assets instead of buying.
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Reduce unnecessary expenses.
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Improving Cash Inflows:
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Tighter credit control.
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Offer incentives for early payments.
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Expand product portfolio.
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Obtaining Additional Finance:
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Overdrafts.
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Selling fixed assets.
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Debt factoring.
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Government assistance.
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Challenges and Limitations of Cash Flow Forecasting:
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Inaccurate Assumptions: Factors like market research, workforce morale, operational issues, competitor behavior, economic changes, and external shocks can affect cash flow forecasts.
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Limited Time Horizon: Cash flow forecasts are typically for the short term due to the difficulty of predicting the future.
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Continuous Monitoring: Regular adjustments and monitoring are necessary for effective cash flow management.